Microsoft has recorded a slight gain over the past three years, but has demonstrated substantial volatility. The company rose dramatically in 2007, fell sharply in 2008 and has recovered strongly since. The mutual fund as had by far the most stable performance. The fund is slightly down over the three-year period and has been down for most of that time. However, for most of 2009 the mutual fund was performing well above Microsoft and the Dow. The Dow is the poorest performer of the three, demonstrating surprising volatility during that period. The Dow is down more than 10% in the past three years.
This performance must also be measured against the expected performance in order to conduct a proper evaluation. Microsoft's outperformance of the market, for example, represents a strong performance relative to the market. The company's stock has a beta of 0.97, meaning that the expectation is that Microsoft will trade almost in line with the Dow. That it has significantly outperformed the Dow means that the performance of Microsoft's stock has exceeded expectations.
The mutual fund has a beta of 0.77. This means that its relative lack of volatility is expected. The fund has a high proportion of debt securities and cash. With just 20% equity, a beta of 0.77 actually seems high. The fund's performance is superior to that of the Dow, however....
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